In politics, only a few rules apply universally, regardless of time, place, or circumstances. The first rule states that power belongs to those who make decisions. The second rule establishes that others must accept these decisions. And the third rule is that the one who holds power decides, and the others follow. However, in the end, they will inevitably face a situation where they must defend their position against those who seek to take their place in making decisions. This is the iron rule of politics, which naturally does not spare even the Czech Republic. According to numerous indications, Petr Fiala, the current Prime Minister and leader of the strongest government party, finds himself in the third phase. Let us now analyze the current post-election situation step by step.

Key Takeaways:

• The regional and Senate election results were not favorable for the government parties and the Pirates. This is a clear signal that the bond with their supporters from 2021 is gone.

• Petr Fiala took a radical but measured step by dismissing Ivan Bartoš over issues with digitalization, to demonstrate who holds authority within the coalition.

• However, keeping Jan Lipavský in the government has sown seeds of conflict within ODS, which could ultimately have fatal consequences for Fiala.

Commentary – Karel Sál

The analysis is in PDF under the link below.